NASDAQ:IEF Fund Quote

Bonds rallied and yields fell not because of inflation and certainly not because of tariffs. It goes back to the growth scare.

Measuring shifts in uncertainty is a slippery beast, but it’s easier to intuit when big changes unfold vs. the recent past.

The dollar was only down a fraction of a percent last week but it was enough to push the year over year change in the dollar into negative territory.

After 3 weeks of staying net long, hedge funds once again switched back to net short e-mini S&P500 futures.

Looking at the determinants makes one understand why the estimated recession likelihood is high. That said, aside from consumption, there’s been little sign of a recession in contemporaneous, hard-data indicators.

The bid to cover jumped from 2.479 last month to 2.588, the highest since December, and just above the six-auction average of 2.57.

An analysis and commentary on the financial markets.

The bid to cover dropped to 2.534 from 2.638, the lowest since August 2024, and obviously below the six-auction average of 2.69.

The best buying opportunity in the energy business for the last 20 years was in March 2020. It took immense courage to buy oil stocks.

With the administration’s attempts to suppress borrowing costs, seasonal forces suggest another move lower for yields in the summer ahead.

In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Wednesday, March 26.

In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Tuesday, March 25.

In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Monday, March 24.

The S&P 500 closed the drop gap opening on March 10.

Tariffs will likely precede any shift to a soft dollar policy that requires cooperation from trade partners for implementation

if stocks wanted to tank, they would do so on stagflationary, record bad UoM consumer data or continued tariff news barrage – and that isn't happening,

For the second week in a row, the Nasdaq 100 traded in a sideways pattern. Last week, it fell 2.5% but recovered from a 5.2% decline at one time. This week, the tech-heavy index inched up 0.25 percent to 19754. That gain follows four weekly drops.

Many economists consider the un-inverting of the yield curve a bad sign for the economy.

In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Thursday, March 20.

In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Wednesday, March 19.

For the last 36 months, interest rates and the dollar have been remarkably stable, as has economic growth.

Hedge funds' net longs in e-mini S&P500 futures were up 151.1% week over week. to an 18-week high.

The stock market continues to decline to mount, with little sign of letting up anytime soon.

The market premium for the US 10-year Treasury yield ticked up in February to the highest spread since 2008.

The year started out on a solid footing for the economy, and the financial markets were pricing in expectations for sustained economic growth.